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| Dr Benno Blaschke | Senior Fellow | benno.blaschke@nzinitiative.org.nz | |||
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ACT's Simon Court said new governments arrive in office to find 'a wall of people who don't necessarily agree with you'. National's Chris Bishop admitted it can be frustrating to get the government's priorities through the system and said that officials could improve on how free and frank their advice is. But he praised the public service for being apolitical. Every three years, New Zealanders vote for a government. But there is one part of government nobody votes for: the permanent public service. These are the officials who turn the government's plans into action. Their job is to help each elected government deliver on its promises. Our forthcoming report, No Minister, asks whether they do. We interviewed 40 people with direct experience of the system. We also conducted a large survey through Curia Market Research. Survey respondents were drawn at random from an online panel comprising several hundred thousand New Zealanders eligible to vote, 718 of whom confirmed they were current or former public servants and participated in the survey. Seven in ten said their job is to serve the public, not the elected government. Less than half of the 718 public servants agreed that elected ministers know better than officials what the public wants. And four in ten disagreed that elected ministers should make the final calls on policy. In our report, officials who believe they are better suited than ministers to divine the will of the public and reject ministers' democratic mandate make up the 'bureaucratic priesthood'. About one third of the 718 public servants, and one out of five who advise ministers, belonged to this group. These officials trust their own view of what is good for the public over the result of the election. They were more likely to endorse tactics that substituted their will over the minister's. But unlike ministers, they cannot be voted out. When officials, not ministers, decide what the public gets, they override the voters' choice. We all pay the price. Over the last decade, housing and infrastructure policies from both Labour (for example, Phil Twyford's struggle with the Urban Growth Agenda) and National governments have been held up. The grievance is not partisan. Governments of the left and right have struggled to get their programmes through. Ministers who arrive prepared and give officials clear direction do better, but even they can struggle. A system that depends on exceptional ministers needs fixing. So, the next government cannot assume the public service will always help it deliver what voters elected it to do. Neutral officials and a mutual working relationship between officials and ministers cannot be taken for granted. No Minister is out on Monday 16 November. Pre-register for the launch webinar to get the full report on release. In the meantime, read the Sunday Star-Times feature. |
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| Dr Nathan Peres | Senior Fellow | nathan.peres@nzinitiative.org.nz | |||
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The protesters were not marching against pension reform. They were protesting against the cost of living and the state of French schools. The two issues are linked. France has not balanced a budget since the 1970s. A state that will not reform its largest expense, pensions, must squeeze everything else instead. New Zealand faces a similar problem in a milder form. Treasury warns that, on current settings, NZ Super could cost 8 percent of GDP by 2065, up from about 5 percent today. It already absorbs one dollar in every six the government spends. Unless revenue grows to match, it would absorb one in four. The events in France are a stark reminder of the cost of delay. Every year of delay makes reform more painful. Recent French governments have at least tried. Macron's first prime minister, Édouard Philippe, tried in 2019–2020 to merge France's staggering 42 pension schemes into a single system. The bill passed its first reading only by bypassing a vote in parliament, before the covid crisis shelved it. In 2023, another prime minister, Élisabeth Borne, used the same approach to raise the retirement age to 64, despite mass protests. A later prime minister, Michel Barnier, was forced out of office over the social security budget crisis. François Bayrou, in turn, failed to renegotiate the reform and then lost a confidence vote. Today's hapless prime minister, Sébastien Lecornu, owes his survival largely to suspending the increase in the pension age in October 2025. As a result, the French will retire at 62 years and nine months until 2028. Meanwhile, across the European Union, 67 is becoming the norm. In some countries it is higher. Fortunately, New Zealand is not France. Our public debt is far lower, and our political system is much nimbler than the Fifth Republic. But lifting the NZ Super age from 65 to 67 is nonetheless needed. We say in French, qui n'avance pas recule (whoever does not move forward moves backward). France's riots are a reminder that stagnation can lead to regression and disorder. Reforms work best when the need for them is recognised early, adopted gradually and not carelessly abandoned. Unlike France, New Zealand still has time. |
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| Henry Olsen | Data Analyst | henry.olsen@nzinitiative.org.nz | |||
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I was up doomscrolling late one night,
When my eyes beheld an eerie sight. US midterms will be held next week. Wanting a scare, I took a peek. The first story gave me quite a fright. Trump said he would put up a fight. On the home front only, not abroad. For cheaper gas, he gave Putin a nod. (He did the Mash) He did the Midterm Mash
(The Midterm Mash) He'll promise loads of cash!
(He did the Mash) It caught on in a flash
(He did the Mash) He did the Midterm Mash
Sanctions were waived for Russian oil. So much for all of Ukraine's toil. Russia will bomb with increased zeal. 'That,' says the Donald, 'is the art of the deal!' I scrolled on down to flee that scene. More horrors appeared upon my screen. Trump's next 'deal' caused quite a spin. 'Five grand for all – but only if I win!' (He did the Mash) He did the Midterm Mash
(The Midterm Mash) He'll promise loads of cash!
(He did the Mash) It caught on in a flash
(He did the Mash) He did the Midterm Mash
I tossed my phone and switched on the telly. 'At least I am safe down here in Welly. Elections here are not so bad, With real debate still to be had.' As leaders sparred, as leaders do I felt a creeping déjà vu. No one said migrants are eating pets, But on groceries National hedged its bets. I went in search of substance to find. Is policy best discussed online? On party sites, policies abound. But of reasons? There were few to be found… (They did the Mash) They did the Election Mash
(The Election Mash) They'll promise loads of cash!
(They did the Mash) It caught on in a flash
(They did the Mash) They did the Election Mash
In Godzone at least there's less spit and bile, Yet thinking seems to be out of style. 'We're going for growth,' I hear them cry, But there's no real plan to grow the pie. It's Halloween, but voting's not scary. The people rule, so pollies, be wary. We can all make politics a bit less brash, But until then, they'll just dance the 'Mash'! (They did the Mash) They did the Election Mash
(The Election Mash) They'll promise loads of cash!
(They did the Mash) It caught on in a flash
(They did the Mash) They did the Election Mash
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| The bureaucratic priesthood | Video | |||
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